Fortuna Gijon vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Gijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
2 - 1
FOG
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
4 - 3
DEV
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
2 - 1
RSG
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +5 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
CEL
8 - 2
FOG
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 78 | 62 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RUD
1 - 1
FOG
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
CEL
5 - 2
RSG
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RSG
1 - 6
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
22%
64%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
CEL
8 - 2
FOG
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1926 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |