Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 2
F95
12%
17%
71%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 2
F95
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 2
DAR
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 3
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 2
EBT
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
BOC
3 - 0
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |