Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
KOL
4 - 2
F95
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1974 |
F95
4 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
LOK
3 - 0
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
F95
1 - 0
EIN
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1973 |
F95
1 - 1
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
BYM
5 - 1
KÖL
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 5
MON
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
76%
14%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HAN
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
KÖL
2 - 1
OFC
29%
26%
44%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |