Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 2
F95
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
F95
0 - 1
HEI
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
STG
1 - 0
F95
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
F95
0 - 2
PRE
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
AAA
3 - 5
F95
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 1
BOC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 1
FCN
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FCN
3 - 1
UNT
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 2
FCN
36%
24%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 1
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |