Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ROT
0 - 0
F95
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
F95
2 - 1
HAM
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
PRE
0 - 2
F95
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
F95
1 - 2
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
WUP
0 - 1
F95
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
HAM
2 - 0
AAA
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
AAA
2 - 1
SWE
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VIK
3 - 4
AAA
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
AAA
3 - 0
EID
85%
11%
5%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
TSV
2 - 0
AAA
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |