Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
PRD
2 - 3
F95
64%
18%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
BVB
2 - 0
F95
46%
22%
33%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
F95
3 - 1
VLW
20%
20%
61%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
TSG
3 - 2
F95
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
F95
5 - 4
ERK
54%
20%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ERK
3 - 2
AAA
60%
19%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
AAA
1 - 4
SHE
62%
19%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
VLW
1 - 2
AAA
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
SKF
4 - 1
AAA
78%
13%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
AAA
1 - 3
S04
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |