Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 1
F95
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WUP
0 - 0
F95
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
F95
1 - 3
BOC
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
F95
0 - 1
KFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
STP
1 - 0
FCU
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 2
HAM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
OSN
1 - 0
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 4
SCF
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 1
DIE
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |