Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
4º
3º
15
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
0 - 2
FOR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
MER
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 1
MEP
41%
21%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 1
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 4
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
2 - 3
PRE
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |