Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCH
20%
21%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
0 - 3
FOR
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
FOR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 2
BOC
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
4 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 4
DUI
63%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 1
BOC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 2
DUI
38%
23%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUI
3 - 1
BOR
5%
11%
84%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +6 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 2
DUI
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |