Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Köln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
34
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
FOR
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOR
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEV
27%
22%
52%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCV
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 1
KOL
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 2
KOL
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
BOR
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
KOL
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |