Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
FOR
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 1
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 3
FOR
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 0
WUP
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 2
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 2
BOR
4%
10%
87%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
BOC
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 1
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 4
MON
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |