Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+143%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
37
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 3
FOR
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 0
WUP
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
SCP
38%
23%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DUI
4 - 3
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
DUI
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 4
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
KOL
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
6 - 0
ALA
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
BOC
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +3 |