Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 2
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VEL
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
SPO
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 3
DIE
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
DIE
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
DIE
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
DIE
2 - 2
VEL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |