Fortuna Chemnitz vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SON
2 - 1
FCH
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
FCH
0 - 0
ENE
41%
26%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
LOK
2 - 0
FCH
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FCH
1 - 3
OBE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
SVG
3 - 1
FCH
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
ZWI
0 - 4
SGD
30%
27%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SGD
4 - 1
SON
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ENE
0 - 1
SGD
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 1
LOK
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
OBE
0 - 1
SGD
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | +1 |