Fortuna Chemnitz vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZWI
6 - 1
FCH
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 1
BUD
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 4
FCH
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
AUE
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
DYN
4 - 1
FCH
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
ROT
31%
24%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 4
LOK
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
DYN
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 0
ROT
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
LUC
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |