Fortuna Chemnitz vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
FCH
83%
13%
5%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 3
WAG
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
5 - 0
FCH
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
4 - 0
GRU
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCH
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WAG
2 - 1
ERZ
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRU
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
MAR
28%
24%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 2
WAC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VFL
3 - 2
ERZ
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |