Fortuna vs CD Aboño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PIL
1 - 1
FRT
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FRT
1 - 1
CDM
49%
21%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VSQ
0 - 2
FRT
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
FRT
1 - 3
RGJ
22%
19%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
FRT
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Aboño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ABO
2 - 1
GPC
52%
21%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMB
2 - 1
ABO
61%
18%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ABO
1 - 3
CAN
10%
15%
76%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ABO
1 - 1
ARE
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UAS
2 - 4
ABO
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +2 |