Fortuna vs Ayer CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SMM
6 - 0
FRT
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FRT
1 - 0
CEU
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
FRT
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
REA
4 - 2
FRT
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FRT
1 - 3
SLU
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ayer CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AYE
1 - 1
REA
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SLU
4 - 4
AYE
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AYE
3 - 2
LAD
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
IBE
3 - 0
AYE
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AYE
1 - 2
CRI
50%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |