Fortuna Camargo vs Samano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
61.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+149%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FOC
1 - 7
SAN
28%
22%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
FOC
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FOC
6 - 2
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
FOC
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FOC
4 - 1
SJU
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Samano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
REV
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 4
SAM
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SAM
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
VEL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |