Fortuna Camargo vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JDM
0 - 4
FOC
50%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIE
4 - 2
FOC
13%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FOC
3 - 3
SMA
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FOC
3 - 0
OFC
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FOC
2 - 1
TCD
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
LIE
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
4 - 1
PEÑ
47%
24%
29%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 0
PEÑ
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CAS
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |