Fortuna Camargo vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 3
FOC
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TCD
0 - 5
FOC
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FOC
5 - 1
LIE
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ISD
0 - 2
FOC
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
JDM
3 - 0
FOC
36%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
JDM
36%
21%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PEÑ
4 - 6
MFC
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RGA
3 - 0
PEÑ
92%
5%
2%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 6
CAL
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RSC
8 - 2
PEÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |