Fortuna Camargo vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
3 - 3
FOC
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOC
4 - 0
SSD
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
FOC
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FOC
4 - 0
OFC
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RSC
0 - 1
FOC
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
LIE
61%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 2
PEÑ
30%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OFC
0 - 4
PEÑ
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RSC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |