Fortuna Camargo vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
41.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 1
FOC
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FOC
1 - 1
AFR
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
FOC
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FOC
2 - 3
LIE
36%
21%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JDM
3 - 1
FOC
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MNT
3 - 2
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
MDC
75%
14%
10%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 5
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SRO
2 - 2
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | -1 |