Fortuna Camargo vs San Agustin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MDC
2 - 3
FOC
27%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOC
3 - 0
AFR
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
FOC
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOC
3 - 4
SAM
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FOC
1 - 7
SAN
28%
22%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MER
5 - 1
AGU
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 2
ESP
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
6 - 0
AGU
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 2
SJU
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |