Fortuna Babelsberg vs Werderaner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Babelsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FOB
3 - 6
FRA
9%
14%
78%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OFE
1 - 0
FOB
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FOB
4 - 1
SEE
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Werderaner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WER
2 - 1
CBW
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
BRA
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
BWP
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GWA
4 - 0
WER
46%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GSC
2 - 2
WER
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |