Fortuna 54 vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 1
FOR
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FOR
5 - 0
ENS
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 3
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPA
48%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
RJC
0 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 2
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FEY
7 - 4
GRO
85%
9%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 2
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
73%
15%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 3
VOL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |