Fortuna 54 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
ELI
3 - 2
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 1
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 1
DWS
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
6 - 2
TEL
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |