Fortuna 54 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
PSV
2 - 3
FOR
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
FOR
0 - 2
ENS
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
MVV
1 - 2
FOR
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
FOR
2 - 1
ADO
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 3
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
60%
19%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
TSV
1 - 3
AJA
31%
22%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVV
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ELI
0 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
RAP
2 - 1
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |