Fortuna 54 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VVD
3 - 1
FOR
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
FOR
3 - 1
VVV
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
FOR
3 - 0
DWS
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1957 |
DWS
1 - 1
FOR
40%
23%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
PSV
1 - 2
FOR
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ENS
0 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOS
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
22%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |