Fortis Trani vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
BRI
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PUT
1 - 2
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAT
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 2
ISC
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 1
NAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POM
2 - 1
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
NAR
44%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |