Fortis Trani vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
BRI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
FOR
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
OSP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
GRO
39%
27%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
FRA
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
OSP
1 - 3
FRA
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 5
GAE
14%
24%
62%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 0
FRA
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |