Fortis Trani vs Battipagliese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
TAR
19%
28%
54%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 1
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
GAE
1 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Battipagliese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
ISC
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 1
BAT
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LIC
0 - 2
BAT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 1
NUO
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
BAT
56%
23%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |