Fortaleza vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 1
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOG
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
UNI
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
4 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 2
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |