Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORS
0 - 4
FOR
17%
27%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
LLA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BJC
0 - 0
FOR
16%
27%
57%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 3
LEO
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CUC
2 - 1
RSC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 0
AFC
38%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
RSC
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |