Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 4
HUI
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
RSC
6 - 0
BOG
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
RSC
2 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 2
RSC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
RSC
3 - 4
ORS
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |