Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAR
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RSC
4 - 1
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
RSC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RSC
2 - 0
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 2
RSC
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
RSC
0 - 1
PER
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |