Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 0
FOR
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAT
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
REA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RSC
1 - 2
LEO
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 1
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
RSC
2 - 2
COR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |