Fortaleza vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 3
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
AME
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RSC
1 - 0
LLA
44%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
RSC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RSC
6 - 1
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RSC
1 - 2
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
RSC
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |