Fortaleza vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 2
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
FOR
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
BUC
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 2
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ENV
3 - 1
AGU
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 4
ENV
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ENV
2 - 1
JAG
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
ENV
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |