Fortaleza vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FOR
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 0
FOR
52%
27%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 3
IND
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 5
HUI
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 2
IND
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |