Fortaleza vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
AGU
28%
27%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAR
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
EQU
2 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
TOL
16%
22%
63%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |