Fortaleza vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
QUI
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
RSC
0 - 1
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 2
BOG
61%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
QUI
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 0
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
QUI
5 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |