Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFC
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 4
REA
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 1
AFC
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AFC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |