Fortaleza U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
FFC
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 1
AVA
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAY
3 - 1
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
COR
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 0
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
AVA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |