Fortaleza U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
11º
9
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
ECV
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CRB
3 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPR
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 2
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 1
FLU
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEC
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |