Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Fortaleza U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
7 - 0
PAY
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 2
FOR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CEC
0 - 0
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEC
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
CSA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
FLU
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 0
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 0
SPR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOT
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |