Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Fortaleza U23 vs Ceará U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
ECB
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
RBB
0 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
RBB
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 1
CEA
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
FFC
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |