Fortaleza U23 vs Avai U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
APP
1 - 2
FOR
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
ECV
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 4
FOR
24%
24%
51%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avai U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
AVA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
AVA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CEC
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 3
FFC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |