Fortaleza EC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
FOR
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
FOR
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
CON
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
AMF
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
CUI
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
ASA
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
ABC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |