Fortaleza EC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CEA
3 - 3
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 1
REC
71%
18%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
CRB
2 - 1
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 1
ANA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
NAU
5 - 0
SER
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRB
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
PAY
2 - 1
NAU
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 2
NAU
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NAU
1 - 3
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |